George Sugihara

InstitutionUniversity of California San Diego
DepartmentClimate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography
Address9500 Gilman Drive #0202
La Jolla CA 92093
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    1. Ushio M, Hsieh CH, Masuda R, Deyle ER, Ye H, Chang CW, Sugihara G, Kondoh M. Fluctuating interaction network and time-varying stability of a natural fish community. Nature. 2018 Feb 15; 554(7692):360-363. PMID: 29414940.
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    2. Telschow A, Grziwotz F, Crain P, Miki T, Mains JW, Sugihara G, Dobson SL, Hsieh CH. Infections of Wolbachia may destabilize mosquito population dynamics. J Theor Biol. 2017 Sep 07; 428:98-105. PMID: 28579427.
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    3. McGowan JA, Deyle ER, Ye H, Carter ML, Perretti CT, Seger KD, de Verneil A, Sugihara G. Predicting coastal algal blooms in southern California. Ecology. 2017 May; 98(5):1419-1433. PMID: 28295286.
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    4. Sugihara G, Deyle ER, Ye H. Reply to Baskerville and Cobey: Misconceptions about causation with synchrony and seasonal drivers. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 03 21; 114(12):E2272-E2274. PMID: 28298533.
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    5. Dakos V, Glaser SM, Hsieh CH, Sugihara G. Elevated nonlinearity as an indicator of shifts in the dynamics of populations under stress. J R Soc Interface. 2017 Mar; 14(128). PMID: 28250096.
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    6. Deyle ER, Maher MC, Hernandez RD, Basu S, Sugihara G. Global environmental drivers of influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 11 15; 113(46):13081-13086. PMID: 27799563.
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    7. Ye H, Sugihara G. Information leverage in interconnected ecosystems: Overcoming the curse of dimensionality. Science. 2016 08 26; 353(6302):922-5. PMID: 27563095.
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    8. Olde Rikkert MG, Dakos V, Buchman TG, Boer Rd, Glass L, Cramer AO, Levin S, van Nes E, Sugihara G, Ferrari MD, Tolner EA, van de Leemput I, Lagro J, Melis R, Scheffer M. Slowing Down of Recovery as Generic Risk Marker for Acute Severity Transitions in Chronic Diseases. Crit Care Med. 2016 Mar; 44(3):601-6. PMID: 26765499.
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    9. Deyle ER, May RM, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Tracking and forecasting ecosystem interactions in real time. Proc Biol Sci. 2016 Jan 13; 283(1822). PMID: 26763700; PMCID: PMC4721089 [Available on 01/13/17].
    10. Ye H, Deyle ER, Gilarranz LJ, Sugihara G. Distinguishing time-delayed causal interactions using convergent cross mapping. Sci Rep. 2015 Oct 05; 5:14750. PMID: 26435402; PMCID: PMC4592974.
    11. Ye H, Sugihara G, Deyle ER, May RM, Swanson K, Tsonis AA. Reply to Luo et al.: Robustness of causal effects of galactic cosmic rays on interannual variation in global temperature. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Aug 25; 112(34):E4640-1. PMID: 26283406; PMCID: PMC4553817.
    12. Clark T, Ye H, Isbell F, Deyle ER, Cowles J, Tilman GD, Sugihara G. Spatial convergent cross mapping to detect causal relationships from short time series. Ecology. 2015 May; 96(5):1174-81. PMID: 26236832.
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    13. Tsonis AA, Deyle ER, May RM, Sugihara G, Swanson K, Verbeten JD, Wang G. Dynamical evidence for causality between galactic cosmic rays and interannual variation in global temperature. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Mar 17; 112(11):3253-6. PMID: 25733877; PMCID: PMC4371914.
    14. Ye H, Beamish RJ, Glaser SM, Grant SC, Hsieh CH, Richards LJ, Schnute JT, Sugihara G. Equation-free mechanistic ecosystem forecasting using empirical dynamic modeling. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Mar 31; 112(13):E1569-76. PMID: 25733874; PMCID: PMC4386326.
    15. Perretti CT, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Reply to Hartig and Dormann: The true model myth. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Oct 15; 110(42):E3976-7. PMID: 24278967; PMCID: PMC3801006.
    16. Deyle ER, Fogarty M, Hsieh CH, Kaufman L, MacCall AD, Munch SB, Perretti CT, Ye H, Sugihara G. Predicting climate effects on Pacific sardine. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Apr 16; 110(16):6430-5. PMID: 23536299; PMCID: PMC3631642.
    17. Perretti CT, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Mar 26; 110(13):5253-7. PMID: 23440207; PMCID: PMC3612644.
    18. Sugihara G, May R, Ye H, Hsieh CH, Deyle E, Fogarty M, Munch S. Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science. 2012 Oct 26; 338(6106):496-500. PMID: 22997134.
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    19. Sugihara G, Beddington J, Hsieh CH, Deyle E, Fogarty M, Glaser SM, Hewitt R, Hollowed A, May RM, Munch SB, Perretti C, Rosenberg AA, Sandin S, Ye H. Are exploited fish populations stable? Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2011 Nov 29; 108(48):E1224-5; author reply E1226. PMID: 22089231; PMCID: PMC3228430.
    20. Deyle ER, Sugihara G. Generalized theorems for nonlinear state space reconstruction. PLoS One. 2011 Mar 31; 6(3):e18295. PMID: 21483839; PMCID: PMC3069082.
    21. Swanson KL, Sugihara G, Tsonis AA. Long-term natural variability and 20th century climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009 Sep 22; 106(38):16120-3. PMID: 19805268; PMCID: PMC2752544.
    22. Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, Brovkin V, Carpenter SR, Dakos V, Held H, van Nes EH, Rietkerk M, Sugihara G. Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature. 2009 Sep 03; 461(7260):53-9. PMID: 19727193.
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    23. Sugihara G, Ye H. Complex systems: Cooperative network dynamics. Nature. 2009 Apr 23; 458(7241):979-80. PMID: 19396133.
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    24. Anderson CN, Hsieh CH, Sandin SA, Hewitt R, Hollowed A, Beddington J, May RM, Sugihara G. Why fishing magnifies fluctuations in fish abundance. Nature. 2008 Apr 17; 452(7189):835-9. PMID: 18421346.
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    25. May RM, Levin SA, Sugihara G. Complex systems: ecology for bankers. Nature. 2008 Feb 21; 451(7181):893-5. PMID: 18288170.
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    26. Hsieh CH, Anderson C, Sugihara G. Extending nonlinear analysis to short ecological time series. Am Nat. 2008 Jan; 171(1):71-80. PMID: 18171152.
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    27. Maye A, Hsieh CH, Sugihara G, Brembs B. Order in spontaneous behavior. PLoS One. 2007 May 16; 2(5):e443. PMID: 17505542; PMCID: PMC1865389.
    28. Hsieh CH, Reiss CS, Hunter JR, Beddington JR, May RM, Sugihara G. Fishing elevates variability in the abundance of exploited species. Nature. 2006 Oct 19; 443(7113):859-62. PMID: 17051218.
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    29. Southwood TR, May RM, Sugihara G. Observations on related ecological exponents. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 May 02; 103(18):6931-3. PMID: 16641099; PMCID: PMC1458996.
    30. Hsieh CH, Glaser SM, Lucas AJ, Sugihara G. Distinguishing random environmental fluctuations from ecological catastrophes for the North Pacific Ocean. Nature. 2005 May 19; 435(7040):336-40. PMID: 15902256.
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    31. Sugihara G, Bersier LF, Southwood TR, Pimm SL, May RM. Predicted correspondence between species abundances and dendrograms of niche similarities. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2003 Apr 29; 100(9):5246-51. PMID: 12702773; PMCID: PMC154330.
    32. Bersier LF, Dixon P, Sugihara G. Scale-Invariant or Scale-Dependent Behavior of the Link Density Property in Food Webs: A Matter of Sampling Effort? Am Nat. 1999 Jun; 153(6):676-682. PMID: 29585644.
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    33. Sugihara G, Bersier LF, Schoenly K. Effects of taxonomic and trophic aggregation on food web properties. Oecologia. 1997 Oct; 112(2):272-284. PMID: 28307580.
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    34. Sugihara G. Minimal Community Structure: An Explanation of Species Abundance Patterns. Am Nat. 1980 Dec.; 116(6):770-787. PMID: 29513556.
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